Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.34 | +$0.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $2.16 |
| +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.700 |
| $2 |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.168 | $1.63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 8.81 | $0.996 | $8.77 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No | buy | 8.22 | $0.730 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.383 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.699 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?No | sell | 6.52 | $0.972 | $6.34 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.260 | $1.51 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.949 | $5.02 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.903 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.370 | $1.61 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.140 | $0.62 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jim Jordan vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.170 | $0.39 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (November 17 – 23)Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Nov 15, 2025 |