Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 188 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 10 Jun 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 26% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 46.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $60.77K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 10 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 60.0% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| daemon93 | No | 13.67K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.14K |
| Worse-Scenario | No | 101.7 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-place-first-in-the-primary-for-nancy-pelosis-congressional-seat-ca-11
| daroghi | No | 59.98 |
| h4rp123 | Yes | 48.21 |
| itsjustcheddar | No | 40 |
| TerranSupremacy | No | 40 |
| LonginusEnjoyerORIK | Yes | 25.58 |
| Nivoh12 | No | 23.78 |
| Lavincey | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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