Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 534.53 | $0.256 | $32.07 | -$104.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | 22d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 80.93 |
| $0.247 |
| $8.9 |
| -$11.1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $4.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 105.49 | $0.095 | $4.27 | -$5.73 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 48.41 | $0.496 | $0.51 | -$23.49 |
| buy |
| 482.38 |
| $0.041 |
| $20 |
| 22d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.420 | $45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.400 | $35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 70.18 | $0.570 | $40 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 119.24 | $0.419 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No | buy | 125.67 | $0.119 | $15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Yes | buy | 99.37 | $0.151 | $15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 80.32 | $0.249 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 269.23 | $0.260 | $70 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 29.24 | $0.171 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.173 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 80.46 | $0.174 | $14 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.174 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 56.99 | $0.175 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.182 | $1.46 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 21.32 | $0.235 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 90.09 | $0.222 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 115.62 | $0.216 | $25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.998 | $110.89 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 105.49 | $0.095 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 68.44 | $0.248 | $17 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.44 | $0.248 | $15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 86.12 | $0.232 | $20 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.48 | $0.210 | $15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 100.99 | $0.198 | $20 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 81.17 | $0.062 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes | buy | 80.93 | $0.247 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | sell | 54.54 | $0.999 | $54.49 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.102 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.055 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 243.95 | $0.850 | $207.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 185.71 | $0.693 | $128.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 143.62 | $0.209 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 45.9 | $0.920 | $42.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 125.06 | $0.200 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.080 | $17.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 100.33 | $0.299 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 185.71 | $0.269 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 434.78 | $0.061 | $26.69 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | sell | 45.15 | $0.365 | $16.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |