U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$808.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Topic roomVenezuela

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 46% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 15% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 46% on 12 Dec 2025. $808.5K traded over the market's life.

298 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:45 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Dec 2025	21.5%
20 Dec 2025	33.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
RacistHitler	No	10.12K
wokerjoesleeper	No	5.72K
luckboxx	No	4.35K
AvishaiBass	No	4.3K

10 of 298 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

U.S. government forces seized a sanctioned oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela on December 10. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/trump-administration-seizes-oil-tanker-off-venezuela-coast-us-officials-say-2025-12-10/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.