Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 3 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 24.5% on 3 Oct 2025. $111.31K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, after the U.S. federal government shutdown that started on October 1, 2025, ends, the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 480 |
| Baalsham | Yes | 338.96 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Vital-Connotation | Yes | 294.12 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 249 |
| edgin | Yes | 211.44 |
| alrightthatsdecent | Yes | 187.5 |
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