Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 3 Dec 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 6 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 75.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $716.01K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 3 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 241.72K |
| ciro2 | No | 11.83K |
| jaja5050 | No | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District to replace former Representative Mark Green. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tennessee-house-special-election
| No |
| 6.47K |
| theComebaqKid | No | 5.24K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 3.75K |
| alfabet | No | 2.5K |
| slight- | No | 1.67K |
| lissartter | No | 1.51K |
| JFox000 | No | 1K |
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