Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 163.93 | $0.220 | $36.06 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 172.41 |
| $0.910 |
| $156.89 |
| Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 96.52 | $0.870 | $83.97 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 180.16 | $0.555 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 New Pope before July?No | buy | 189.57 | $0.528 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 96.3 | $0.519 | $50 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 AP calls Pennsylvania by 8:00 AM Nov 6?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will the election be called on Nov 5?No | buy | 60.1 | $0.832 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump blowout victory?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.367 | $500 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 24, 2024 |