Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 63% on 25 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 8 May 2025 and the lowest 10% on 18 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 88 points up, to 98% on 22 Apr 2025. $347.75K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 25 Feb 2025 – 8 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2025 | 63.0% |
| 8 May 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hhhhhhhhhhh82 | No | 6.78K |
| Annointed1 | No | 2.79K |
| Marrano | No | 1.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Pope after Pope Francis is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pope-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 1.02K |
| Joshthebigdog | No | 257.99 |
| JCosmo | No | 250 |
| jia-ayo | No | 230.77 |
| cgking2018 | No | 189.57 |
| YylolDCGKX | No | 159 |
| nicnic | Yes | 150 |
