Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 22 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2024 to 15 Nov 2024, the highest close was 100% on 15 Nov 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 23 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 95.7% on 14 Nov 2024. $395.49K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 22 Aug 2024 – 15 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2024 | 12.0% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sfsworms | No | 27.67 |
| JK105 | Yes | 9.3 |
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | No | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Tulsi Gabbard for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-wins-and-nominates-tulsi-gabbard-to-cabinet
| Yes |
| 2.34 |
| Anyberg | Yes | 0.1 |
| mitarumigh1988 | No | 0.1 |
| intrafgargza1981 | No | 0.08 |
| hot-097 | No | 0.08 |
| adella-et | No | 0.08 |
| privafesmor1974 | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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