
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36% on 15 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 322 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 19 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 60.5% on 18 Feb 2025. $1.59M traded over the market's life.
225 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 322 points, 15 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | 36.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025
| babanmama | Yes | 4.15K |
| FishBotATH | No | 3.59K |
| Protos | Yes | 3.5K |
| jonydep2 | Yes | 3.39K |
| sirdenal | Yes | 3.13K |
| pelove | Yes | 1.74K |
| LYON | Yes | 1.49K |
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