Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 11 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 11 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 62.5% on 12 Nov 2024. $200.56K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 11 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2024 | 29.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AnthonyCapistrano | No | 425 |
| PolyDump | No | 400 |
| BossMan | No | 277.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order or signs any bill into law that aims to limit or eliminate birthright citizenship in the United States by April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ban-on-birth-right-citizenship-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 128.95 |
| jonstermonster13 | No | 122 |
| Luckyu | No | 100 |
| fbn29 | No | 100 |
| Floww | No | 90.91 |
| skitzor | No | 83.33 |
| cantopmz | No | 65.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
