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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 5.32 | $0.996 | $5.28 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.996 | $5.3 | 20h ago |
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| buy |
| 5.4 |
| $0.960 |
| $5.18 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.912 | $1.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | sell | 4.07 | $0.943 | $3.84 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.954 | $3.89 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.956 | $1.81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.937 | $1.78 | May 10, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 9?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.999 | $5.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on April 6?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.976 | $5.18 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.997 | $5.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | sell | 5.59 | $0.926 | $5.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.956 | $5.35 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.937 | $5.35 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.920 | $5.26 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.984 | $5.26 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.989 | $5.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | sell | 87.01 | $0.974 | $84.76 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | buy | 87.02 | $0.993 | $86.41 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?No | buy | 86.41 | $0.997 | $86.15 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 86.15 | $0.997 | $85.93 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | sell | 87.09 | $0.987 | $85.93 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.982 | $1.95 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Airbnb reach $132 in November?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.994 | $1.94 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.986 | $1.94 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | buy | 87.1 | $0.993 | $86.49 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 16?Yes | buy | 86.49 | $0.999 | $86.4 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.989 | $1.95 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.982 | $1.94 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.988 | $1.96 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Russia enter Siversk by October 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.943 | $1.85 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on October 25?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.999 | $1.85 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on October 23?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.997 | $1.84 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be less than $170 on October 17?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.934 | $1.72 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.990 | $1.7 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.972 | $1.66 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.989 | $3.7 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.989 | $5.15 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.986 | $4.05 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.966 | $2.5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 0.81 | $0.995 | $0.81 | Dec 6, 2024 |
State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.994 | $2.27 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Panduleni Itula be the next President of Namibia?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?No | buy | 0.88 | $0.999 | $0.88 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?No | buy | 0.7 | $0.987 | $0.69 | Nov 21, 2024 |
100+ Bird Flu cases by Friday?No | buy | 0.87 | $0.989 | $0.86 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.998 | $2.28 | Nov 21, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.998 | $1.07 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.987 | $1.41 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No | buy | 0.64 | $0.997 | $0.64 | Nov 21, 2024 |