Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 64% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 13 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 2.3% on 7 Nov 2024. $25.41K traded over the market's life.
446 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 18 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 33.5% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sal8855 | Yes | 353.83 |
| Nosakenti | Yes | 102.22 |
| zamuehlz1234 | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a statewide recount is initiated in any U.S. state or the District of Columbia as part of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election process by 11:59 PM ET on December 17, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only recounts which are either automatically triggered, requested by either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, or ordered independently by a court or state official will qualify. Recounts requested by third party candidates, such as the 2016 Wisconsin recount requested by Green Party candidate Jill Stein would not qualify. Any full statewide recount, whether conducted by hand or machine will count. However, partial recounts such as the 2020 Wisconsin recount, which only included Milwaukee and Dane counties, or the 2004 Ohio recount which used a sample of 3% of precincts in each county would NOT count. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes. Any complete re-tallying of the vote will count as a recount, even if officially described as ‘audit’ such as the initial 2020 Georgia recount completed on November 19. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities. If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed in every participating territory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, and there are no formal or legal process underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/state-wide-recount-in-presidential-election
| Yes |
| 50 |
| Zina886 | Yes | 20.39 |
| morrinsville | Yes | 12.5 |
| Sachmoute | Yes | 4.9 |
| fuh-526 | Yes | 3.08 |
| balancepo | Yes | 0.9 |
| benitoy | Yes | 0.54 |
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