Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10% on 9 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 17 Jan 2025. $482.64K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 4:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 10.0% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2.21K |
| Subtle | Yes | 704.92 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 292.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justice Sonia Sotomayor formally announces her retirement from the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Sotomayor will qualify regardless of whether her retirement has gone into effect by this market's end date. The resolution source will be public statements from Sonia Sotomayor, one of her official representatives, and/or the government of the United States.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sotomayor-retire-from-scotus-before-inauguration
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| Yes |
| 162.87 |
| St-Qc | Yes | 141 |
| Perfumed-Gratitude | Yes | 83.33 |
| Sundar | Yes | 62.5 |
| morrongabipoc | Yes | 62.5 |
| olsenanthony | No | 1.33 |
| bintouy | Yes | 0.5 |
