Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15% on 22 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 3.1% on 23 Oct 2025. $104.39K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 73 points · 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| auxilor | Yes | 1.67K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 467 |
| StephanieNelson8982 | Yes | 361 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal programs and activities managed by the agency, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If NASA is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-end-nasa-in-2025
| Jebediah.H | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 291 |
| aihenchi | Yes | 290 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Andrew088847546 | Yes | 201.56 |
| Amy24 | Yes | 200.6 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
