Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 4% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6.3% on 19 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 25 Nov 2024. $866.54K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 5:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 10 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 4.0% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if sentencing is definitively cancelled or postponed beyond that date, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. This market will resolve based on the first sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-sentenced-to-prison-in-ny-case-before-inauguration
| Yes |
| 1.01K |
| cantopmz | Yes | 278.11 |
| MPW0725 | Yes | 192.31 |
| Peppered | Yes | 148.91 |
| Bluechip | Yes | 100 |
| mborgmann | Yes | 33.33 |
| Crimson Raven ADE5 | No | 24.1 |
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