Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 108 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.1 points up, to 15.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $171.27K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 14.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alexparker | Yes | 8.1K |
| Opulent-Loafer | Yes | 3.39K |
| alexsela | Yes | 2.85K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period. Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there. Visits or trips to Russia will not count. Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-exiled-to-russia-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 1.33K |
| Incompatible-Privacy | Yes | 1.3K |
| irbisSS | Yes | 1.01K |
| JJ3333 | Yes | 1K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 1K |
| herewe | Yes | 870.38 |
| Ormy | Yes | 833.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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