Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 4, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$560.6K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 4, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2024 to 4 Dec 2024, the highest close was 7.2% on 28 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Dec 2024. $560.59K traded over the market's life.

96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 2:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 4 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Nov 2024	0.7%
4 Dec 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	228.91K
vulpitaalbastra	Yes	14.33K
ASKEN	Yes	8.95K
Comebackkid	Yes	5.75K

10 of 96 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Romania on December 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than PSD, PNL, USR, or AUR wins the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies (Romania's lower house) as a result of the next Romanian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Romanian parliamentary election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by a given party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).