Latest trade
Sep 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
shred7777 has made $9.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:31 AM UTC.
$146.1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Jul 5, 2026 UTC to Sep 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.940 | $1.67K | +$74.8 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $4.16 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 29d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-02 15:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
45 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 00:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 00:31 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-02 15:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.86K and losing ones cost $4.85K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.04K on “Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?” (No); the largest loss, $2.47K on “Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?” (No).
It first traded on 21 Jun 2026 and most recently on 26 Sep 2026. It has traded 279 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.26K across 45 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.03K |
| $0.704 |
| $956.36 |
| +$232.13 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 821.03 | $0.430 | $718.4 | +$365.36 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.880 | $684.95 | +$68.95 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 594.27 | $0.910 | $543.76 | +$2.97 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 458.71 | $0.789 | $410.55 | +$48.4 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 443 | $0.781 | $385.41 | +$39.41 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 417.9 | $0.736 | $384.47 | +$76.94 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $384.2 | +$20.2 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.948 | $377.8 | -$1.2 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.685 | $362 | +$88 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | No | 371.16 | $0.811 | $361.14 | +$60.19 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 360 | $0.924 | $349.38 | +$16.68 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 341.51 | $0.920 | $321.02 | +$6.83 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 330 | $0.884 | $318.62 | +$27.02 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 309.12 | $0.922 | $304.79 | +$19.78 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | No | 330 | $0.959 | $303.6 | -$12.9 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 311.2 | $0.907 | $297.51 | +$15.23 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.780 | $297 | +$63 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $296.7 | +$26.7 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 313.16 | $0.922 | $294.68 | +$5.93 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 312.55 | $0.740 | $290.67 | +$59.38 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.950 | $285.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.860 | $280.05 | +$22.05 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.700 | $268.5 | +$58.5 |
| buy |
| 159.99 |
| $0.960 |
| $153.59 |
| 29d ago |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.29 | $0.930 | $101.64 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 29d ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | 29d ago |
 Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.253 | $50.65 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.746 | $59.66 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.748 | $59.87 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.759 | $7.59 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.760 | $22.81 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.440 | $52.8 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?Yes | buy | 454 | $0.890 | $404.06 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Yes | buy | 331.63 | $0.639 | $211.92 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 140.52 | $0.960 | $134.9 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.751 | $150.19 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.26 | $0.939 | $208.67 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 594.27 | $0.910 | $540.79 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No | buy | 341.51 | $0.920 | $314.19 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 345.86 | $0.978 | $338.32 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 191.8 | $0.800 | $153.44 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 255 | $0.800 | $204 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?No | buy | 93.73 | $0.968 | $90.77 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 268.45 | $0.790 | $212.08 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.9 | $0.700 | $82.53 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No | buy | 242.12 | $0.940 | $227.59 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?No | buy | 427.67 | $0.860 | $367.85 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No | buy | 798.67 | $0.977 | $780.3 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.8 | $0.895 | $109.91 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 180.87 | $0.923 | $166.89 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.920 | $46.92 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 458.2 | $0.917 | $420.29 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No | buy | 84.39 | $0.720 | $60.76 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?No | buy | 716.08 | $0.974 | $697.19 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.820 | $9.24 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.