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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.940 | $1.66K | +$58.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 191.8 | $0.800 | $153.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.01K |
| $0.832 |
| $972.64 |
| +$135.94 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.03K | $0.704 | $952.24 | +$228.01 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.880 | $654.5 | +$38.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 600.43 | $0.894 | $585.72 | +$48.6 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | No | 509.11 | $0.888 | $484.67 | +$32.31 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 821.03 | $0.430 | $472.09 | +$119.05 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 468.66 | $0.764 | $461.16 | +$102.93 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | No | 458.2 | $0.917 | $434.6 | +$14.31 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | No | 427.67 | $0.860 | $397.52 | +$29.67 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $389 | +$25 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.685 | $358 | +$84 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 443 | $0.781 | $354.4 | +$8.4 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 458.71 | $0.789 | $323.39 | -$38.76 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 417.9 | $0.736 | $315.51 | +$7.98 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 330 | $0.884 | $313.5 | +$21.9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | No | 371.16 | $0.811 | $306.76 | +$5.81 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 313.16 | $0.922 | $305.33 | +$16.57 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 309.12 | $0.922 | $303.86 | +$18.86 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 311.2 | $0.907 | $293.31 | +$11.03 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 312.55 | $0.740 | $289.11 | +$57.82 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.860 | $285.9 | +$27.9 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | No | 289.1 | $0.936 | $283.9 | +$13.39 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.780 | $280.5 | +$46.5 |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 268.93 | $0.950 | $262.48 | +$6.99 |
| buy |
| 255 |
| $0.800 |
| $204 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?No | buy | 93.73 | $0.968 | $90.77 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 268.45 | $0.790 | $212.08 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.9 | $0.700 | $82.53 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No | buy | 242.12 | $0.940 | $227.59 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?No | buy | 427.67 | $0.860 | $367.85 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No | buy | 798.67 | $0.977 | $780.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.8 | $0.895 | $109.91 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 180.87 | $0.923 | $166.89 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.920 | $46.92 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 458.2 | $0.917 | $420.29 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No | buy | 84.39 | $0.720 | $60.76 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?No | buy | 716.08 | $0.974 | $697.19 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 789.2 | $0.819 | $646.55 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 206.97 | $0.971 | $200.97 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 145.17 | $0.787 | $114.23 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No | buy | 151 | $0.930 | $140.43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 249.16 | $0.870 | $216.77 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 291.99 | $0.879 | $256.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200.21 | $0.730 | $146.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 67.32 | $0.880 | $59.24 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.890 | $48.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.840 | $252 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 472 | $0.760 | $358.72 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 166.64 | $0.895 | $149.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 601.91 | $0.968 | $582.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 121.57 | $0.988 | $120.11 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.994 | $298.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 231 | $0.995 | $229.85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 35.55 | $0.994 | $35.34 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | buy | 386.3 | $0.995 | $384.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 295.56 | $0.990 | $292.6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 289.03 | $0.680 | $196.44 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?No | buy | 172 | $0.959 | $165.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 243.92 | $0.936 | $228.31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 439.43 | $0.896 | $393.73 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.983 | $10.17 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.983 | $10.17 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 30.84 | $0.983 | $30.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 646.23 | $0.985 | $636.53 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 594 | $0.987 | $585.99 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 225.95 | $0.994 | $224.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.995 | $2.04K | Jun 17, 2026 |