Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 15 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.6% on 24 Sep 2026 and the low 57.5% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 84% on 21 Sep 2026. $72.24K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 10:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 57.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bogdanc1 | No | 22.47K |
| Legacy.crypto | No | 1.61K |
| HerrieDavis | No | 1.29K |
| gopfan2 | No | 1K |
| LR1 | No | 699.99 |
| Devoted-Route | No | 467.09 |
| controls | No | 439.44 |
| elockt | No | 400 |
| kakdelaa | No | 315.8 |
| UntitledUser1 | No | 239.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution. The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes. If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-elections-a-just-russia-clears-duma-threshold
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
