Latest trade
Apr 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 8:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
Misty Falcon 7716 is down $523.79 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 8:15 PM UTC.
$2.23 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 120 markets; 70.8% were buys. They run from Mar 19, 2026 UTC to Apr 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.850 | $0.47 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 18:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 20:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 20:15 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-08 06:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $53.56 and losing ones cost $37.21 across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.81 on “US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $15.28 on “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?” (Yes).
It first traded on 15 Jan 2026 and most recently on 21 Apr 2026, 181 days ago. It has traded 318 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 0.98 |
| $0.998 |
| $0.98 |
| Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.33 | $0.040 | $1.65 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.945 | $3.24 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.260 | $0.15 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 9.33 | $0.054 | $0.5 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.910 | $2.61 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.977 | $3.68 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.994 | $0.19 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.760 | $0.52 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.995 | $1.1 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.210 | $2.63 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 84.74 | $0.040 | $3.39 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.070 | $0.19 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.118 | $0.94 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.850 | $0.54 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 4.19 | $0.670 | $2.81 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.950 | $4.29 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.430 | $0.24 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.300 | $0.65 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.640 | $1.35 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.060 | $0.02 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.120 | $0.27 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.930 | $0.71 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.602 | $1.64 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.760 | $3.1 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.023 | $0.08 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.370 | $0.31 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.940 | $5.37 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.57 | $0.038 | $0.7 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 85.63 | $0.994 | $85.12 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 8.83 | $0.360 | $3.18 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.250 | $0.13 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.650 | $0.36 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.270 | $0.8 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.42 | $0.920 | $10.51 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.965 | $3.21 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.986 | $1.95 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.750 | $4.76 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.991 | $4.8 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 5.78 | $0.879 | $5.08 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.940 | $5.37 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.940 | $5.37 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.920 | $5.24 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 48.95 | $0.996 | $48.75 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 5.98 | $0.996 | $5.96 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.77 | $0.951 | $5.49 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.990 | $5.92 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: none of these measurements can be ranked against the Radar board, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.