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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.440 | $14.32 | -$5.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.57 | $0.070 | $4.03 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 19.61 |
| $0.510 |
| $10.29 |
| +$0.29 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | Yes | 81.24 | $0.246 | $5.69 | -$14.31 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.180 | $2.79 | -$12.21 |
| buy |
| 19.61 |
| $0.510 |
| $10 |
| 12d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | 12d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.57 | $0.347 | $20 | 12d ago |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 23.92 | $0.209 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 55.83 | $0.179 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.820 | $26.44 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.580 | $6.9 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 354.6 | $0.014 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.77 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Yes | buy | 81.24 | $0.246 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | buy | 82.34 | $0.121 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.55 | $0.320 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.460 | $15 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.703 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 279.86 | $0.036 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.750 | $10.13 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.130 | $8.67 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.995 | $18.42 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.035 | $20 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.053 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 15.92 | $0.628 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.077 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.5 | $0.113 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.529 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.900 | $14.06 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 257.1 | $0.039 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 10, 2025 |