Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 119 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.3% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 99.3% on 1 Mar 2026. $4.61M traded over the market's life.
463 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 119 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 34.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alexparker | No | 37.06K |
| SecondWindCapital | No | 15.74K |
| Mp5555 | No | 12.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-december-31-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 11.92K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 11.34K |
| squirtl | No | 7.2K |
| Roflan-ludoman | No | 4.51K |
| Kind-Tortellini | No | 4.26K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 4.21K |
| oak | No | 3.91K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
