Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 27 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.3%. Yes opened at 79% on 11 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.3% on 27 May 2026 and the low 11.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 68 points down, to 11.5% on 5 Mar 2026. $5.47M traded over the market's life.
724 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 310 points, 11 Jul 2025 – 27 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | 79.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | 97.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 442.13K |
| wan123 | No | 169.85K |
| fourfive | No | 128.18K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner
| Clueless-Sage | No | 100K |
| lavarball | No | 10K |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 5.48K |
| 0x234 | No | 2.85K |
| OkaneKasegu | No | 2K |
| horiz0n | No | 1.85K |
| Sic | No | 1.61K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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