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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.920 | $3.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.07 |
| $0.999 |
| $2.07 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
French election called by November 30?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.900 | $4.04 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Progressive Cities ParlayNo | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.910 | $2.04 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.940 | $2.09 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.920 | $2.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.992 | $2.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
John Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.993 | $2.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | sell | 1.02 | $0.970 | $0.99 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.984 | $1.03 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.972 | $1.04 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.953 | $1.11 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.949 | $1.44 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.920 | $1.4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Kanye West join the America Party?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.931 | $0.97 | Jul 31, 2025 |
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Congressman joins the America Party before August?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.994 | $1.01 | Jul 31, 2025 |
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.913 | $1.15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Kanye West join the America Party?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Congressman joins the America Party before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 1.27 | $0.850 | $1.08 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.870 | $1.16 | Jul 9, 2025 |
US forces in Iran in 2025?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.900 | $1.25 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.967 | $1.36 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.860 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.880 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.900 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.850 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.800 | $1.17 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.850 | $1.16 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 1.62 | $0.740 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |