Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$97.8K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 18% on 9 Oct 2025. $97.84K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 4:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Oct 2025	38.5%
13 Nov 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
ilovemalort	Yes	1.6K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	916
hengify	Yes	501.95

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns. Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.