Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 13% on 7 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 13% on 7 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points down, to 6.2% on 8 Jul 2025. $44.93K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | 13.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jirafe | Yes | 10.54K |
| mesteme | Yes | 2K |
| andarian | Yes | 1.87K |
| Unsightly-Retirement | Yes | 1.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a current member of the U.S. Congress—defined as a sitting U.S. Senator or Representative—publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/congressman-joins-the-america-party-before-august
| klod | Yes | 528.27 |
| MaximusPermabear | Yes | 402.19 |
| Lined-Planter | Yes | 376.07 |
| SherDeVuDe | Yes | 365 |
| truthov | Yes | 350 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 346.21 |
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