Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75.76 | $0.660 | $15.53 | -$34.47 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 23.53 |
| $0.850 |
| $20 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 43.06 | $0.464 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.390 | $10.83 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Cowboys vs. GiantsCowboys | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.216 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.94 | $0.345 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 22.76 | $0.879 | $20 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes | buy | 119.76 | $0.250 | $30 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.93 | $0.299 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?Yes | buy | 105.38 | $0.342 | $36 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 234.58 | $0.426 | $100 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Yes | sell | 44.61 | $0.220 | $9.81 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | buy | 329.01 | $0.061 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 112.52 | $0.267 | $30 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | buy | 376.07 | $0.066 | $25 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 161.53 | $0.050 | $8.08 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 30.86 | $0.648 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 25.52 | $0.784 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 44.61 | $0.448 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.660 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.54 | $0.130 | $21 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Pacers vs. ThunderPacers | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 156.99 | $0.637 | $100 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. ThunderPacers | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |