Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 755.57 | $0.225 | $49.11 | -$120.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 168.35 | $0.297 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 168.35 |
| $0.297 |
| $24.92 |
| -$25.08 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $8.98 | -$1.02 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 66.83 | $0.299 | $4.34 | -$15.66 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $4.13 | -$5.87 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $3.88 | -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 384.62 |
| $0.130 |
| $50 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.79 | $0.329 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.129 | $15 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.67 | $0.229 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 328.43 | $0.061 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 136.78 | $0.329 | $45 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 96.47 | $0.466 | $45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 112.47 | $0.445 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.83 | $0.299 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 36.06 | $0.277 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 97.83 | $0.460 | $45 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.045 | $100 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 35.52 | $0.282 | $10 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.510 | $30 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | buy | 528.27 | $0.076 | $40 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.410 | $27.33 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.009 | $3.27 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.36 | $0.652 | $100 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.225 | $150 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.225 | $10 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 426.88 | $0.234 | $100 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 177.74 | $0.113 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 142.23 | $0.211 | $30 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 288 | $0.139 | $40 | Jun 24, 2025 |