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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RedNote removed from App Store by Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.02 |
| $0.995 |
| $4.99 |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.993 | $4.98 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.988 | $4.98 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.987 | $4.98 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.994 | $4.99 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.994 | $4.98 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.989 | $4.98 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 2024 December hottest on record?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.990 | $4.97 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| 2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.994 | $4.98 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.989 | $4.99 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.983 | $4.97 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.989 | $4.96 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.995 | $5.99 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.993 | $7.98 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | sell | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 6.01 | $0.997 | $5.99 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.993 | $6.97 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test?No | sell | 7.08 | $0.985 | $6.97 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.993 | $6.98 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | sell | 7 | $0.991 | $6.94 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | Dec 21, 2024 |