Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.3% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 4% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 21 Jan 2025. $296.05K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 2.3% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-citizenship-revoked-before-inauguration
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 50 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 33.85 |
| Rocceo | Yes | 17.22 |
| Wobuz | No | 5.03 |
| fukliyingwatnrs | No | 5.01 |
| v51 | Yes | 5 |
| cmezzy | No | 3.6 |
