Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 38% on 25 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.7% on 4 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 34.5% on 20 Dec 2024. $359.76K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2024 | 16.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 17, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-before-inauguration
| No |
| 56.3 |
| Moriia1 | No | 28 |
| gbfbhae | No | 1.03 |
| smoltrader | No | 0.09 |
| devilmaycry12345 | No | 0.05 |
| Eridpnc | No | 0.04 |
| LinaBell | No | 0.04 |
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