Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 710 | $0.820 | $592.85 | +$10.65 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 710 | $0.820 | $582.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
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ocel is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #211,290 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$134.13 observed lifetime PnL, 313 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 74.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb17158302e240698d1ec6331caea31a94a719527
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 550 |
| $0.920 |
| $506 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 500 | $0.992 | $496 | May 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 492.63 | $0.995 | $490.17 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 33 | $0.940 | $31.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.940 | $19.74 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.940 | $10.34 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 181 | $0.940 | $170.14 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 107 | $0.940 | $100.58 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 41 | $0.867 | $35.55 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No | buy | 9 | $0.940 | $8.46 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.710 | $26.27 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 33 | $0.967 | $31.91 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | buy | 13 | $0.970 | $12.61 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in April?No | buy | 37 | $0.997 | $36.89 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in April?No | buy | 37 | $0.997 | $36.89 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in April?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will $PWEASE be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No | buy | 17 | $0.995 | $16.92 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No | buy | 6 | $0.990 | $5.94 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.910 | $10.01 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 6 | $0.969 | $5.81 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid exploit before February?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.994 | $1.7 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.995 | $3K | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.971 | $9.7 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.811 | $40.54 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No | sell | 13.56 | $0.921 | $12.49 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?No | sell | 14.01 | $0.907 | $12.71 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No | sell | 29.08 | $0.948 | $27.57 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | sell | 13.46 | $0.391 | $5.26 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.970 | $19.38 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.985 | $49.24 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.961 | $9.6 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.924 | $18.46 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | sell | 49.98 | $0.776 | $38.78 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 18.11 | $0.282 | $5.11 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.286 | $9.44 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.928 | $46.39 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.989 | $8.99 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No | sell | 10 | $0.729 | $7.29 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.949 | $14.24 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 12.07 | $0.973 | $11.74 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Caris LeVert win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.997 | $9.96 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.