Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 9.5% on 17 Dec 2024 and the low 0.7% on 20 Dec 2024. $18.72K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 9.5% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon888 | Yes | 20 |
| dispancer | No | 0.04 |
| asapalmerlih | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sightings of "mystery drones" in the United States of America is the official explicitly stated cause a runway shuts down for any length of time between December 16, 11:00 AM ET, and December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from the airports in question, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), and the government of the United States, however in cases of ambiguity a consensus of credible official sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/runway-closures-due-to-mystery-drones-by-friday
New to prediction markets?
