Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 29 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 339 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 62.5% on 30 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 37.6% on 5 Dec 2024. $349.34K traded over the market's life.
475 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 339 points, 29 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2024 | 35.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cs362 | Yes | 1.21K |
| kingfisher | Yes | 391.07 |
| Gooble | Yes | 100.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government bans sharing sexually explicit deepfakes, defined as sexually explicit images generated by AI without the subject's consent, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-ban-sharing-deepfake-nudes-in-2024
| Blissful-Visit | No | 50 |
| wubbalubbadubdub | Yes | 43.48 |
| 2024Harmony | Yes | 28.57 |
| KittenMittens | No | 25.86 |
| santams | No | 25 |
| 0x0144 | Yes | 19.23 |
| YoungW | Yes | 13.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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