Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14% on 2 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2025 to 9 Jan 2025, the highest close was 14% on 2 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 9 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.9 points down, to 5.1% on 3 Jan 2025. $643.62K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 6:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 2 Jan 2025 – 9 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2025 | 14.0% |
| 9 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market. If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-connection-between-new-orleans-and-las-vegas-attacks
| 0xabcd | No | 560 |
| MtrxZ | Yes | 515 |
| Heavy-Matrix | Yes | 401.88 |
| rph-crypto-nerd | Yes | 237.12 |
| yiziz | No | 211.22 |
| Bogr | Yes | 183.49 |
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