Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 5 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 272 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 5 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Dec 2024. $2.22M traded over the market's life.
130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 6:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 5 Apr 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2024 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pepa.eth | Yes | 3.72K |
| Jason7772 | Yes | 2.89K |
| virginiachaney | Yes | 1.87K |
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-join-nato-in-2024
| vlin | Yes | 1.13K |
| jiujiuyou | Yes | 1.02K |
| Duixianggg | Yes | 999.92 |
| edecccghgg | Yes | 834.26 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 714.29 |
| Jamesfahy05 | Yes | 705.88 |
| remilio7 | Yes | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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