Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 333.33 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.33 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 179.27 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 25.76 | $0.039 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?Yes | buy | 217.23 | $0.018 | $4 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.813 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.010 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.920 | $10.22 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.730 | $2.28 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.140 | $0.58 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | sell | 44.76 | $0.061 | $2.73 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 44.76 | $0.067 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 23?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?No | sell | 12.14 | $0.260 | $3.16 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 12.14 | $0.280 | $3.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.465 | $2.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?No | buy | 47.2 | $0.064 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?Yes | buy | 39.12 | $0.091 | $3.56 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | May 19, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.270 | $2.24 | May 19, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.230 | $1.91 | May 18, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | buy | 48.04 | $0.083 | $4 | May 14, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | May 14, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | May 13, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | May 13, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 102.1 | $0.059 | $6 | May 10, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |