Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.042 | $0.28 | Oct 26, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 12.5 |
| $0.026 |
| $0.33 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.175 | $0.97 | Oct 26, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.410 | $3.1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.740 | $4.02 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.962 | $5.34 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.977 | $5.42 | Oct 26, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 11.47 | $0.840 | $9.63 | Aug 23, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 14.64 | $0.890 | $13.03 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 18.03 | $0.740 | $13.34 | Aug 23, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Aug 23, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1T1 | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.229 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Solana above $175 on August 6?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.460 | $2.5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |