Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83.5%. Yes opened at 88% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 43% on 20 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 69% on 18 Jul 2025. $899.22K traded over the market's life.
271 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 21 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 88.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| goldingboy | No | 50K |
| Rapid Orbit F73D | No | 21.41K |
| zaimiri | No | 10.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-browser-in-2025
| No |
| 5.57K |
| wil0w | No | 5K |
| BobbyMan | No | 4.65K |
| aln | No | 4.31K |
| philshore404 | No | 4.25K |
| rotowave | No | 3.22K |
| RafalZ | No | 2.68K |
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