Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 57.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29.5% on 14 Jul 2025. $194.82K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 57.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kickstand7 | Yes | 10.34K |
| horiz0n | Yes | 1.22K |
| poiasdf | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Bongino ceases to be the US Deputy Director of the FBI for any period of time between July 10 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Bongino's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dan-bongino-out-as-deputy-director-of-the-fbi-by-july-31
| Yes |
| 887.97 |
| CultofCows | Yes | 800 |
| OneFinalStand9917 | Yes | 767.26 |
| MontyWalsh | Yes | 499.99 |
| lissartter | Yes | 429.76 |
| BidenVoter | Yes | 373.49 |
| Crapshoot10 | Yes | 371.99 |
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