Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.3%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 12 Aug 2025, the highest close was 97.3% on 12 Aug 2025 and the lowest 54.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 68% on 26 Jul 2025. $650.64K traded over the market's life.
150 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 12 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 54.5% |
| 12 Aug 2025 | 97.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iioooiii | No | 23K |
| tigerslesgo | No | 14.5K |
| XnXo | No | 8.86K |
| N3kro | No | 6.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former First Lady of South Korea Kim Keon-hee is arrested or detained by law enforcement between July 24, 2025, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-korea-first-lady-keon-hee-arrested-by-august-31
| FrozenSixty | No | 5.26K |
| tunahunter | No | 5.2K |
| moojabi1986 | No | 5.14K |
| ltdstoch | No | 4.45K |
| rousseauuu | No | 4.42K |
| Eviliam718 | No | 3.35K |
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