Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 16.5%. Yes opened at 71% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 84.5% on 8 Jun 2025 and the lowest 54% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 83.5% on 2 Jul 2025. $797.96K traded over the market's life.
182 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 3 May 2025 – 2 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 71.0% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bthoughtful | Yes | 131.52K |
| Hyperliquid.hl | Yes | 36.26K |
| MagicEightBall | Yes | 6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is convicted of sex trafficking or a directly related felony charge arising from the same conduct, in the ongoing UNITED STATES OF AMERICA v. SEAN COMBS (Case No. 1:24-cr-00542) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying, qualifying convictions include: -Conviction under 18 U.S.C. § 1591 (Sex trafficking by force, fraud, or coercion) -Conviction under 18 U.S.C. § 1962 (RICO) only if the predicate acts proven at trial include sex trafficking -Any other felony conviction explicitly tied to sex trafficking as part of the factual basis for the conviction, as confirmed by the court’s judgment or credible reporting Convictions for unrelated RICO predicate acts (e.g. drug trafficking, bribery, obstruction of justice (if not tied to sex trafficking), assault, kidnapping, or other crimes will not qualify. If the case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (Dec 31) to consider further retrials. If no qualifying conviction has been reached by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used to determine whether the conviction meets the criteria above.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-found-guilty-of-sex-trafficking
| Yes |
| 4.39K |
| Kickstand8 | Yes | 3K |
| imclueless | Yes | 2.6K |
| HHP | Yes | 1.5K |
| LeslieNielsen | Yes | 1.24K |
| Energeticone | Yes | 856.93 |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 450 |
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