Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 25 Aug 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 3 Aug 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 24 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 83.6% on 20 Aug 2025. $361.79K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 4:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 25 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 45.5% |
| 25 Aug 2025 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| him123 | No | 9.83K |
| Ktulhu | No | 5.8K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 5.14K |
| Bouncy-Mountain | No | 3.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated's total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-hold-630k-btc-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xc78622a49b7f38b356453b35c649c20b859bd82e | No | 3.16K |
| bey5335 | No | 2.07K |
| KimbalMusk | No | 1.93K |
| testingtestermctestface | No | 1.53K |
| jt7 | No | 1.27K |
| Experienced-Larder | No | 1.11K |
