Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27% on 7 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 7 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 12 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 47.5% on 12 Jun 2025. $477.14K traded over the market's life.
125 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 7 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2025 | 27.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PRESIDENTEJavierMilei | Yes | 3.06K |
| pruthvikhorate | Yes | 3K |
| whatisthisclownmarket | Yes | 2.21K |
| Wrongbet | Yes | 1.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Donald Trump and Elon Musk make public statements clearly indicating a mutual reconciliation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Individual statements indicating reconciliation will not qualify unless reciprocated. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-elon-publicly-reconcile-before-july
| Jderks | Yes | 909.09 |
| SoftServedGummy | Yes | 617.84 |
| ouchpower | Yes | 581.25 |
| Bonvivant | Yes | 444.44 |
| acidrain | Yes | 344.83 |
| Zesty-Industry | Yes | 222.22 |
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