Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.89 | $0.370 | $144.98 | -$224.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.125 | $337 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 748.68 |
| $0.107 |
| $132.52 |
| +$52.52 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.300 | $121.25 | -$28.75 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.116 | $32.56 | -$87.44 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 625 | $0.032 | $11.56 | -$8.44 |
| sell |
| 246.32 |
| $0.567 |
| $139.6 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.246 | $196.73 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 91.73 | $0.110 | $10.09 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 677.99 | $0.324 | $220 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes | sell | 631.57 | $0.155 | $98.12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes | buy | 631.58 | $0.190 | $120 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.150 | $120 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.100 | $80 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 246.33 | $0.812 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.220 | $60 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.13 | $0.207 | $41.22 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.100 | $80 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.116 | $120 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.500 | $55 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 748.68 | $0.107 | $80 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 125.6 | $0.810 | $101.74 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.5K | $0.023 | $101.74 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 311.79 | $0.807 | $251.55 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 350 | $0.280 | $98 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 647.47 | $0.618 | $400 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 650.44 | $0.769 | $500 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 150 | $0.311 | $46.61 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.47K | $0.041 | $183.09 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.050 | $99.04 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.057 | $227.08 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.063 | $15 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.320 | $60 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?Yes | buy | 180.82 | $0.553 | $100 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Spain snap election called in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.65K | $0.066 | $175.24 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.329 | $16.45 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 256.28 | $0.030 | $7.67 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.510 | $153 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.084 | $3.61 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes | sell | 138.65 | $0.500 | $69.33 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes | buy | 138.65 | $0.087 | $12 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.049 | $15.18 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 891.23 | $0.090 | $80.21 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.120 | $36 | Sep 23, 2025 |