Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31.5%. Yes opened at 62% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 24 Aug 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 31.5% on 24 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 39% on 17 Aug 2025. $89.89K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 5:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 24 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 62.0% |
| 24 Aug 2025 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wignerparadox | No | 4.97K |
| yomommahoe | No | 1K |
| Kakashi | No | 718.23 |
| Andrew1898 | No | 676.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any confirmed prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine takes place between August 14, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The number of prisoners involved does not matter. Any swap involving military or civilian detainees held by either government will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-prisoner-exchange-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| CurioBot | No | 604.15 |
| BiggieCheeseTrades | No | 500 |
| lissartter | No | 498.58 |
| Shayku | No | 471.01 |
| Lozo18 | No | 448.62 |
| Trusty-Wormhole | No | 394.9 |
