Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 612.57 | $0.997 | $610.73 | May 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 610.72 |
| $0.997 |
| $608.89 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 609.51 | $0.999 | $608.9 | Apr 30, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 605.24 | $0.997 | $603.42 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | buy | 603.42 | $0.999 | $602.82 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes | buy | 114.26 | $0.905 | $103.41 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Decimate" or "Decimated" during events with Japanese PM?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.998 | $103.2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 103.72 | $0.995 | $103.2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 103.72 | $0.989 | $102.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)Yes | buy | 102.58 | $0.998 | $102.37 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.999 | $5K | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 19.11K | $0.999 | $19.09K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.980 | $1.55K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Yes | buy | 61.61 | $0.990 | $60.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Yes | buy | 4.31K | $0.990 | $4.27K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.997 | $5.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 5.9K | $0.996 | $5.88K | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 11.98K | $0.997 | $11.95K | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 461.37 | $0.967 | $446.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?Yes | buy | 445.92 | $0.998 | $444.81 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 69.49 | $0.997 | $69.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Yes | buy | 375.54 | $0.999 | $375.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27, 3-4am?No | buy | 44 | $0.999 | $43.96 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26, 1-2am?No | buy | 723.46 | $0.998 | $722.24 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No | buy | 4.19K | $0.988 | $4.14K | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 7.47 | $0.960 | $7.17 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 14.9 | $0.950 | $14.16 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.910 | $9.75 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.919 | $3.76K | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 3.83K | $0.994 | $3.81K | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.996 | $3.82K | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.996 | $4.69 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Virtual" or "Virtually" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 237 | $0.999 | $236.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Water" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 764 | $0.999 | $763.24 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 3.82K | $0.990 | $3.78K | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.992 | $992 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No | buy | 1.38K | $0.999 | $1.38K | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will "Fentanyl" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No | buy | 263.9 | $0.999 | $263.64 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will "Shooting" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No | buy | 106 | $0.999 | $105.89 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No | buy | 864.99 | $0.999 | $864.03 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will "Pam" or "Bondi" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No | buy | 721.41 | $0.999 | $720.69 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?No | buy | 205.5 | $0.624 | $128.31 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?No | buy | 191.32 | $0.517 | $98.82 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?No | buy | 14.35K | $0.805 | $11.55K | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?No | buy | 206 | $0.455 | $93.64 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No | sell | 842.24 | $0.652 | $549.49 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No | sell | 167.44 | $0.680 | $113.79 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?No | buy | 35.47 | $0.680 | $24.12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?No | buy | 4.39K | $0.685 | $3K | Feb 11, 2026 |