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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

politicsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

3.5%

No

96.5%

Yes costs 3.55¢No costs 96.45¢

24h Volume

$5.7K

Total volume

$665.3K

Liquidity

$29.4K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomIran–Israel

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D217	buy	No	96.8%	2.02	Oct 30, 5:11 PM UTC
QMG-CORE	buy	No	96.2%	681.37	Oct 30, 5:11 PM UTC
QMG-ALPHAC	buy	No	96.2%	18.95	Oct 30, 1:35 PM UTC
ArielK47	sell	Yes	3.8%	20	Oct 30, 12:46 PM UTC
SpringDFB	sell	No	96.0%	67.61	Oct 30, 11:09 AM UTC
SpringDFB	buy	No	96.1%	67.62	Oct 30, 11:07 AM UTC
Golden Beacon 67A6	sell	Yes	3.9%	5.21	Oct 30, 8:23 AM UTC
wJhraCcPrd46Tjla	buy	No	96.1%	5.01	Oct 30, 7:14 AM UTC
denizz	buy	No	96.0%	1.24K	Oct 30, 7:13 AM UTC
Jade Beacon E3EA	buy	Yes	4.1%	220	Oct 30, 7:13 AM UTC
denizz	buy	No	95.9%	319.54	Oct 30, 7:13 AM UTC
itsKey	buy	No	95.9%	5.21	Oct 30, 5:23 AM UTC
garbagefriends	buy	No	95.8%	59.21	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
betstaker	buy	No	95.6%	2.62	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
NellyDora	buy	No	95.6%	29.6	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	buy	No	95.6%	12	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	buy	No	95.6%	1.83	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
KreoAnon	buy	No	95.6%	1.81	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
Swift Ledger 9D52	buy	No	95.6%	5	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
cocococococo	sell	No	95.7%	1.06K	Oct 30, 5:22 AM UTC
heipii11	buy	No	95.9%	12.51	Oct 30, 2:45 AM UTC
itsKey	buy	No	95.9%	5.93	Oct 30, 1:19 AM UTC
garbagefriends	buy	No	95.9%	87.99	Oct 30, 1:17 AM UTC
NellyDora	buy	No	95.9%	43.99	Oct 30, 1:17 AM UTC
betstaker	buy	No	96.0%	3.86	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
Amber Atlas 44F7	buy	No	96.0%	1.04	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	buy	No	95.9%	18	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
Swift Ledger 9D52	buy	No	95.8%	5	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
Gdub	sell	No	95.6%	879.98	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
KreoAnon	buy	No	95.9%	2.53	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	buy	No	95.9%	2.57	Oct 30, 1:16 AM UTC
itsKey	buy	No	95.7%	5.51	Oct 29, 11:43 PM UTC
garbagefriends	buy	No	95.7%	52.78	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
NellyDora	buy	No	95.7%	26.39	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
betstaker	buy	No	95.7%	2.33	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
Ivory Horizon 895D	buy	No	95.7%	10	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
zstaxpl4fpb2	buy	No	95.9%	1.54	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
KreoAnon	buy	No	95.9%	1.52	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile	buy	No	95.5%	527.88	Oct 29, 11:40 PM UTC
xtxpleasecallme	buy	Yes	5.8%	144	Oct 29, 8:22 PM UTC
xtxpleasecallme	buy	Yes	7.0%	5	Oct 29, 7:09 PM UTC
Tenebrus7	sell	No	90.1%	80	Oct 29, 5:54 PM UTC
Tenebrus7	sell	No	94.3%	1.05K	Oct 29, 5:46 PM UTC
wJhraCcPrd46Tjla	sell	No	94.9%	25.38	Oct 29, 5:32 PM UTC
denizz	sell	No	94.9%	5.09K	Oct 29, 5:31 PM UTC
itsKey	sell	No	94.9%	5.2	Oct 29, 5:20 PM UTC
NellyDora	sell	No	94.9%	51.75	Oct 29, 5:18 PM UTC
bibus123	buy	No	95.7%	1.31	Oct 29, 5:18 PM UTC
Red-Girlfriend	sell	No	94.9%	16.5	Oct 29, 5:17 PM UTC
NellyDora	sell	No	94.9%	51.73	Oct 29, 5:17 PM UTC
betstaker	sell	No	94.9%	8.83	Oct 29, 5:17 PM UTC
CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile	sell	No	95.0%	2K	Oct 29, 5:17 PM UTC
QMG-MACRO	buy	No	95.9%	500	Oct 29, 5:45 AM UTC
FastPaws	sell	No	95.0%	1.34K	Oct 28, 11:53 PM UTC
PcMYjCcPrd5yb35I	buy	No	95.5%	24.63	Oct 28, 5:33 PM UTC
Bromley86	buy	No	95.9%	236.7	Oct 27, 7:23 PM UTC
Swift Pioneer BAA3	sell	No	95.1%	7.3	Oct 27, 2:49 PM UTC
sizzle178	buy	No	96.1%	1.04	Oct 27, 1:41 PM UTC
Taut-Aside	sell	Yes	3.8%	40.6	Oct 27, 7:06 AM UTC
Gdub	sell	No	96.1%	5.12K	Oct 26, 9:19 PM UTC

60 of the 500 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.

Topic room

Read this market in context

Iran–Israel oddsWhat are the odds of war between Israel and Iran?

What to watch in Iran–Israel

Military action by either state or by allied groups
Statements from the US government on involvement
Inspections, talks and announcements on Iran's nuclear programme

Research behind the numbers

How well Polymarket prices match outcomes