Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 793 | $0.842 | $678.02 | +$9.98 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.25 | $0.160 | $1.96 | 46m ago |
 |
| No |
| 554.16 |
| $0.940 |
| $518.14 |
| -$2.77 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 438.69 | $0.973 | $430.57 | +$3.95 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 300.27 | $0.944 | $281.5 | -$1.95 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 250 | $0.962 | $240.38 | -$0.13 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 174.55 | $0.976 | $170.97 | +$0.69 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 162.11 | $0.949 | $151.57 | -$2.34 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 697.5 | $0.594 | $149.96 | -$264.19 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.940 | $141.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 140.3 | $0.920 | $129.78 | +$0.7 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 126.1 | $0.958 | $120.43 | -$0.37 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 116.29 | $0.970 | $112.74 | -$0.02 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 111.09 | $0.983 | $108.37 | -$0.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 114.96 | $0.937 | $107.49 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 115.29 | $0.880 | $100.88 | -$0.58 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 105.81 | $0.896 | $100.57 | +$5.8 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 103.48 | $0.953 | $98.72 | +$0.11 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 111.1 | $0.870 | $96.1 | -$0.56 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.960 | $95.25 | -$0.75 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 102.15 | $0.795 | $86.32 | +$5.14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 101.66 | $0.781 | $80.31 | +$0.88 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 112.85 | $0.388 | $68.27 | +$24.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 368.94 | $0.302 | $68.25 | -$43.23 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | $0.931 | $64.75 | -$0.45 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 86.24 | $0.644 | $62.96 | +$7.4 |
| sell |
| 0.81 |
| $0.670 |
| $0.54 |
| 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.690 | $0.26 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.690 | $0.24 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.690 | $0.25 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.690 | $0.26 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.680 | $0.24 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.680 | $0.24 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.650 | $0.2 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.650 | $0.25 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.650 | $0.04 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.620 | $0.22 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.620 | $0.23 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.620 | $0.24 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.600 | $0.14 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.600 | $0.08 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.580 | $0.2 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.580 | $0.22 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.580 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.580 | $0.22 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.560 | $0.21 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.560 | $0.4 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.540 | $0.21 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.520 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.520 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.610 | $0.18 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.660 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.660 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.650 | $0.66 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.650 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.650 | $0.31 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.660 | $0.32 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 17.36 | $0.590 | $10.24 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.640 | $0.31 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.640 | $0.31 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.620 | $0.12 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.550 | $0.25 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.550 | $0.26 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.85 | $0.550 | $0.47 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.550 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.550 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.490 | $0.48 | 3h ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.72 | $0.140 | $0.94 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.600 | $1.67 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.600 | $0.16 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.550 | $0.02 | 4h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.570 | $7.6 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 13.31 | $0.580 | $7.72 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 7.48 | $0.600 | $4.49 | 5h ago |